Rock burst intensity grading prediction model based on automatic machine learning

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  • 1. School of Resource and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430081, China 2. Hubei Dongsheng Chemical Group Dongda Mining Co., Ltd., Yichang, Hubei 443000, China
HE Long-ping, male, born in 1998, Master’s student, focusing on underground cavern rock burst prediction and machine learning. E-mail: 820557245@qq.com
YAO Nan, male, born in 1987, PhD, Associate Professor, research interests: mine disaster prevention and control and mining technology. E-mail: yaonan@wust.edu.cn

Online published: 2025-05-08

Supported by

the Funding of the Hubei Province Key R&D Project (2020BCA082) and the Hubei Province Safety Production Special Fund Research Project (SJZX20211004).

Abstract

To address issues related to excessive human influence and prolonged prediction times in rockburst prediction, we propose a rockburst intensity classification prediction model based on automatic machine learning. This model is trained using five automatic machine learning frameworks and evaluated using metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. Subsequently, we compare the performance of this trained model with results from thirteen common machine learning models. The model developed with the Auto-Sklearn framework achieved a high accuracy of 0.969, while the model created with the Auto-Gluon framework, although having the lowest accuracy among the five frameworks, still achieved an accuracy of 0.927. Rockburst prediction models constructed using AutoML frameworks significantly outperformed traditional machine learning algorithms. The Auto-Sklearn-based model exhibited the highest accuracy. In summary, the optimized model was applied to predict rockburst events at the Shaiqi River phosphate mine, and the predictions were consistent with the actual observations on-site. This indicates that the automatic machine learning-based model for rockburst intensity classification prediction can accurately predict rockburst incidents in real-world engineering settings.

Cite this article

HE Long-ping, YAO Nan, WANG Qi-hu, YE Yi-cheng, LING Ji-suo, . Rock burst intensity grading prediction model based on automatic machine learning[J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2024 , 45(9) : 2839 -2848 . DOI: 10.16285/j.rsm.2023.6607

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